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Lithuania has a small, open economy with strengths in services, digital sectors, and industrial exports, supported by EU and eurozone membership. The country has improved energy security and benefits from a relatively stable banking sector. However, it faces structural challenges including a shrinking workforce, tight labour market, and high inflation. Trade with Russia has declined, and public finances remain under pressure. Despite these challenges, growth is expected to continue moderately, supported by exports, EU-funded projects, and private consumption. 

Source: Coface 



Vos conseillers auprès de la Chambre de Commerce

Adélaïde Hoffsess

Contactez-nous: europe@cc.lu


Indicateurs clés

Surface
65,300 sq km
Population
2,888,278 (2024)
Type de gouvernement
semi-presidential republic
Langues
Lithuanian (official) 85.3%, Russian 6.8%, Polish 5.1%, other 1.1%, two mother tongues 1.7% (2021 est.)
PIB
$84.87 billion (2024)
Taux de croissance
2.8% (2024)
HDI
39
Capitale
Vilnius

Indicateurs macroéconomiques

Lithuania’s economy is expected to continue growing over the forecast horizon, supported by private consumption, which will be driven by increasing wages and release of the second pillar pensions. Investment is also expected to grow. US tariffs and the adverse geopolitical context are having a limited economic effect. Real GDP is projected to grow by 2.7% in 2025, 3.0% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027. Inflation is expected to rise to 3.4% in 2025 driven by an increase in services and food prices but ease to 2.9% in 2026, restrained by lower energy prices. In 2027, energy prices are expected to rise due to introduction of ETS2, the overall inflation constituting 2.4%. The general government deficit is projected to increase from 2.2% in 2025, to 2.6% in 2026, and to 2.7% in 2027.  

IMF Statistics:

Subject descriptor 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

All Items, Consumer price index (CPI), Period average, percent change

Percent

(Units)

8.685

0.852

3.576

3.059

2.514

Current account balance (credit less debit), Percent of GDP

Percent

(Units)

1.099

2.473

2.082

2.149

2.25

Current account balance (credit less debit), US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

0.877

2.099

1.983

2.249

2.456

Exports of goods and services, Volume, Free on board (FOB), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-3.395

2.063

2.323

1.694

2.874

Gross domestic product (GDP), Constant prices, Percent change

Percent

(Units)

0.428

2.726

2.733

2.933

2.129

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, Per capita, US dollar

US dollar

(Units)

27798.037

29378.609

32982.41

36225.11

38101.771

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

79.824

84.847

95.274

104.651

109.192

Imports of goods and services, Volume, Cost insurance freight (CIF), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-5.338

2.388

3.487

2.703

2.866

Unemployment rate

6.875

7.133

6.6

6.1

6.0

Estimates

Source: IMF Statistics - Lithuania


Le Luxembourg et le pays

Existing conventions and agreements

Non double taxation agreement

In order to promote international economic and financial relations in the interest of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, the Luxembourg government negotiates bilateral agreements for the avoidance of double taxation and prevent fiscal evasion with respect to Taxes on Income and on fortune with third countries.

  • Convention from 22.11.2004 (Memorial 2006, A No.65, p.1300)
  • Effective as of 01.01.2007 (Memorial 2006, A No.65, p.1300)
  • Amendment of the Convention from 20.06.2014 (Memorial 2015, A No.232, p.5116)
  • Law from 24.12.2015
  • Effective as of 01.01.2016
  • Application of the most favoured nation clause (Newsletter of 22.11.2019) 

  • Effective as of 01.01.2019 

Air Services agreement

None

Source: Administration des contributions directes


Informations supplémentaires

Foreign Trade

The Statec Foreign Trade statistics provide information on the trade of goods - by product and by country. This information is collected respectively through the INTRASTAT declaration and on the basis of customs documents.

You can see the statistics on the website of the Statec.

Contact points in Lithuania

Embassy of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg in Warsaw

Ambassador with residence in Warsaw: Ms Peggy FRANTZEN

ul. Sloneczna 15
00-789 Warsaw
Poland
 

Tel.: (+48) 22 507 86 50
Fax: (+48) 22 507 86 61
E-Mail: varsovie.amb@mae.etat.lu 
Website: varsovie.mae.lu 
 

Honorary Consuls

Kaunas 

Honorary Consul with Jurisdiction over the Constituencies of Kaunas, Alytus, Marijampole, Taurage, and Klaipeda:

Mr Ramunas GARBARAVICIUS

Vaizganto 30
LT-44229 Kaunas
Poland
Tel.: (+37) (0) 621 762 15
E-Mail: kaunas@consul-hon.lu 

Vilnius 

Honorary Consul with jurisdiction over the Constituencies of Vilnius, Utena, Panevezys, Siauliai. and Telisi:

Ms Vilija VAITKUTE PAVAN

Jogailos 9

LT- 01116 Vilnius

Poland

Tel.: (+37) (0) 698 82026

E-Mail: E-mail: vilnius@consul-hon.lu

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Luxembourg

Country risk as defined by Office du Ducroire for Lithuania

Ducroire is the only credit insurer covering open account deals in over 200 countries. A rating on a scale from 1 to 7 shows the intensity of the political risk. Category 1 comprises countries with the lowest political risk and category 7 countries with the highest. Macroeconomics experts also assess the repayment climate for all buyers in a country.

Link: Ducroire Office – Country Risk for Lithuania

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