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Latvia has an open economy that benefits from a good macroeconomic management, a stable banking system, and a growing services and digital sector. The country faces structural challenges, including a shrinking and ageing workforce, skill shortages, and dependence on energy imports. Inflation has been above the eurozone average, while the current account remains in deficit. Geopolitical tensions, particularly with Russia, and domestic political uncertainties also weigh on economic stability. Despite these challenges, Latvia’s economy is expected to recover gradually, supported by rising exports, EU-funded infrastructure projects, and continued investment in high-value sectors. 

Source: Coface 



Your advisors at the Chamber of Commerce

Adélaïde Hoffsess

Contact us: europe@cc.lu


Key indicators

Area
64,589 sq km
Population
1,866,124 (2024)
Government type
parliamentary democracy
Languages
Latvian (official) 56.3%, Russian 33.8%, other 0.6% (includes Polish, Ukrainian, and Belarusian), unspecified 9.4%
GDP
$43.68 billion (2024)
Growth rate
0.0% (2024)
HDI
41
Capital
Riga

Macroeconomic indicators

Latvia’s economy is expected to grow by 1% of GDP in 2025 after experiencing stagnation in 2024. Despite geopolitical uncertainties, both private and public investments are set to grow strongly. Private consumption is expected to slowly recover in the second half of the year, driven by wage growth, whereas government consumption is projected to be supportive. GDP growth is forecast to pick up to 1.7% in 2026 and to 1.9% in 2027 driven by private consumption, investment and exports. Inflation is set to rebound as the deflationary impact of energy prices fades, while services and food inflation remains strong. Inflation is projected to reach 3.6% in 2025, before falling to 2.2% in 2026 and picking up to 2.4% in 2027.  The general government deficit is forecast to increase to 3.1% of GDP in 2025, driven by weaker revenue growth and increasing current expenditure, and further to 4.3% in 2027, mainly due to higher defence expenditure.   

IMF Statistics:

Subject descriptor 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

All Items, Consumer price index (CPI), Period average, percent change

Percent

(Units)

9.058

1.349

3.761

2.595

2.81

Current account balance (credit less debit), Percent of GDP

Percent

(Units)

-3.838

-1.567

-2.115

-2.305

-2.429

Current account balance (credit less debit), US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

-1.634

-0.682

-1.013

-1.204

-1.339

Exports of goods and services, Volume, Free on board (FOB), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-4.698

-1.593

2.0

2.3

2.5

Gross domestic product (GDP), Constant prices, Percent change

Percent

(Units)

2.854

-0.442

1.028

2.164

2.354

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, Per capita, US dollar

US dollar

(Units)

22615.109

23242.742

25629.634

28024.242

29620.315

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

42.584

43.508

47.88

52.248

55.114

Imports of goods and services, Volume, Cost insurance freight (CIF), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-1.984

-2.344

3.4

3.1

3.3

Unemployment rate

6.506

6.929

6.701

6.607

6.568

Estimates

Source: IMF Statistics - Latvia


Relationships with Luxembourg

Existing conventions and agreements

Non double taxation agreement

In order to promote international economic and financial relations in the interest of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, the Luxembourg government negotiates bilateral agreements for the avoidance of double taxation and prevent fiscal evasion with respect to Taxes on Income and on fortune with third countries.

  • Convention from 14.06.2004 (Memorial 2006, A No.64, p.1286)
  • Effective as of 01.01.2007 (Memorial 2006, A No.64, p.1286)

Air Services agreement

None

Source: Administration des contributions directes 

 


Further information

Foreign Trade

The Statec Foreign Trade statistics provide information on the trade of goods - by product and by country. This information is collected respectively through the INTRASTAT declaration and on the basis of customs documents.

You can see the statistics on the website of the Statec.

Contact Points in Latvia

Embassy of the Grand Duchy of Warsaw

Ambassador with residence in Warsaw: Ms Peggy FRANTZEN
UI Sloneczna 15
PL-00-789 Warsaw
Poland

Tel.: +48 22 507 86 50
Fax: +48 22 507 86 61
E-Mail: varsovie.amb@mae.etat.lu

Site web: www.varsovie.mae.lu

 

Honorary Consuls

Riga 

Honorary Consul with jurisdiction over Latvia:

Ms Kristiana LIBANE-SKELE

68, rue Dzirnavu (2nd Floor)
LV-1050, Riga
Latvia

Tel.: (+371) 292 192 92
E-Mail: riga@consul-hon.lu 

Source: Ducroire Office – Country Risk for Latvia 

Country risk as defined by Office du Ducroire for Latvia

Ducroire is the only credit insurer covering open account deals in over 200 countries. A rating on a scale from 1 to 7 shows the intensity of the political risk. Category 1 comprises countries with the lowest political risk and category 7 countries with the highest. Macroeconomics experts also assess the repayment climate for all buyers in a country.

Link: ODL - Latvia

Useful links


Chamber of Commerce and the country