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Estonia boasts a diversified economy with strengths in digital and technology sectors, especially ICT, and benefits from a growing share of renewable energy. The country has the lowest public debt ratio in the EU and enjoys a business-friendly environment with strong EU and eurozone membership. However, it remains vulnerable to external shocks, particularly from Russia-related disruptions and demographic challenges such as an ageing population. Despite these challenges, Estonia’s economy is expected to return to growth in 2025, driven by private consumption and demand from Nordic and German markets. Investment in infrastructure and renewable energy continues to rise, with advanced digital infrastructure bolstering long-term economic prospects. 

Source: Coface 



Vos conseillers auprès de la Chambre de Commerce

Adélaïde Hoffsess

Contactez-nous: europe@cc.lu


Indicateurs clés

Surface
45,228 sq km
Population
1,372,341 (2024)
Type de gouvernement
parliamentary republic
Langues
Estonian (official) 67.2%, Russian28.5%, other 3.7%, unspecified 0.6% (2021est.)
PIB
$43.13 billion (2024)
Taux de croissance
-0.1% (2024)
HDI
36
Capitale
Tallinn

Indicateurs macroéconomiques

After three difficult years, the Estonian economy is showing signs of recovery, and inflation is set to calm down. Public consumption expanded, while private consumption is expected to gradually increase. Investment is benefitting from lower borrowing costs, but high geopolitical uncertainty weighs down growth. In 2026 and 2027, investment will rise due to higher defence spending, while higher real disposable incomes are set to push consumption. Export performance is expected to improve with the recovery of the Nordic economies. Real GDP is projected to increase by 2.1% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027. HICP inflation is projected at 4.8% in 2025, driven by services and food inflation and tax hikes, but is forecast to ease to 2.2% in 2027. The government deficit is projected to increase over the forecast horizon, driven by a personal income tax reform and increased defence spending.   

IMF Statistics:

Subject descriptor 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

All Items, Consumer price index (CPI), Period average, percent change

Percent

(Units)

9.116

3.733

5.074

4.293

3.28

Current account balance (credit less debit), Percent of GDP

Percent

(Units)

-1.247

-1.246

-0.924

-2.201

-2.074

Current account balance (credit less debit), US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

-0.517

-0.537

-0.432

-1.124

-1.112

Exports of goods and services, Volume, Free on board (FOB), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-9.141

-1.501

3.083

1.741

3.1

Gross domestic product (GDP), Constant prices, Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-2.744

-0.09

0.475

1.459

1.841

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, Per capita, US dollar

US dollar

(Units)

30272.75

31418.897

34041.287

37194.835

39128.954

Gross domestic product (GDP), Current prices, US dollar

US dollar

(Billions)

41.482

43.117

46.763

51.036

53.619

Imports of goods and services, Volume, Cost insurance freight (CIF), Percent change

Percent

(Units)

-7.314

0.374

2.476

3.482

2.786

Unemployment rate

6.376

7.501

7.919

7.411

7.074

Estimates

Source: IMF Statistics - Estonia


Le Luxembourg et le pays

Existing conventions and agreements

Non double taxation agreement 

In order to promote international economic and financial relations in the interest of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg, the Luxembourg government negotiates bilateral agreements for the avoidance of double taxation and prevent fiscal evasion with respect to Taxes on Income and on fortune with third countries.

  • Convention from 23.05.2006 (Memorial 2006, A no.229, p.4075)
  • Effective as of 01.01.2008 (Memorial 2006, A no.229, p.4075)
  • New Convention from 07.07.2014 (Memorial 2015, A no.232, p.5060)

     

Air Services agreement

None

Source: Administration des contributions directes


Informations supplémentaires

Foreign Trade

The Statec Foreign Trade statistics provide information on the trade of goods - by product and by country. This information is collected respectively through the INTRASTAT declaration and on the basis of customs documents.

You can see the statistics on the website of the Statec.

Contact points in Estonia

Embassy of the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg in Prague 
Ambassador with residence in Prague: Mr Ronald DOFING 
9 Apolinarska Street
CZ - 128 00 PRAHA 2
Czechia

Tel.: +420 257 18 18 00
E-Mail: prague.amb@mae.etat.lu 

Site web: www.prague.mae.lu


Honorary Consul

Tallinn 

Honorary Consul with jurisdiction over Estonia:

Mr Nils Per Anders HEDMAN

Pikk 9
EE-10123 Tallinn
Estonia

Tel.: (+37) 26 44 69 00
E-Mail: consul.lux.tallinn@gmail.com

 

Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Luxembourg

Country risk as defined by Office du Ducroire for Estonia

Ducroire is the only credit insurer covering open account deals in over 200 countries. A rating on a scale from 1 to 7 shows the intensity of the political risk. Category 1 comprises countries with the lowest political risk and category 7 countries with the highest. Macroeconomics experts also assess the repayment climate for all buyers in a country.

Link: Ducroire Office – Country Risk for Estonia

Other useful links